This is a curated corpus of consequential, verifiable claims—not a random sample of everything Musk has said.
Back to overview
The calculation
ProvisionalWhy Elon Musk scores 22%
Based on his record of verifiable public statements and promises in this tracked dataset, Elon Musk is highly untrustworthy under the published rubric.
3,100points earned13,800points possible across 138 claims
= 22.5%, rounded to 22%
A missed, false, or unsupported claim does not by itself establish that the speaker intended to deceive.
17 Pending or Unresolved records stay public but do not affect the headline denominator.
Strict promise audit
19.3% of resolved promises and forecasts passed every material term.
Timing is part of the proposition. Later delivery is documented as context, but it does not restore points after an original deadline was missed.
Pass
Every material term was met.
16.5%16 / 97
Fail
At least one matured material term failed.
69.1%67 / 97
Pending
The stated deadline or condition has not matured.
12.4%12 / 97
Unresolved
The available evidence cannot establish pass or fail.
2.1%2 / 97
Intentional-deception review
Wrong is not automatically a lie.
Every record now answers whether intentional deception was established from its cited evidence. This is a separate, higher-threshold assessment and never mechanically changes the Trust Score.
Yes
The cited record meets the published standard for establishing knowing deception.
0.0%0 / 155
No
The evidence supports an outcome or accuracy judgment, but does not establish Musk’s state of mind.
89.0%138 / 155
Not assessable
Pending or unresolved evidence does not support a responsible intent assessment.
11.0%17 / 155
“No” does not mean the statement was true.
It means the available evidence did not establish intentional deception. The more detailed audit separately marks 5 records as “Suggested but not established.”
Supporting measures
What the single score contains.
Each denominator answers a different question. The labels stay scoped to this verified corpus.
Claims included in the Trust Score
Pending and Unresolved claims remain visible but do not alter the denominator.
89.0%138 / 155
Claims rated True or Mostly True
These categories earn at least 75% of the maximum 100-point weight in the current classification key.
14.2%22 / 155
Claims rated False
False earns zero points; the verdict does not by itself establish intent.
58.7%91 / 155
Contested by credible sources
Contestation is a separate evidence badge, not a score-bearing verdict.
36.8%57 / 155
Score by subject category
5 subject areas, disclosed separately.
Every record has a subject category, whether the claim concerns a company, public affairs, science, media, or Musk personally. Each result shows its own denominator; a category with no score-bearing records remains visible as not scored.
Personal & Legal40.6% · n=8 scored of 9
Media & Society31.7% · n=15 scored of 17
Business & Technology21.2% · n=79 scored of 92
Politics & Government18.1% · n=29 scored of 29
Science & Health14.3% · n=7 scored of 8
Organizations are context, not the taxonomy.
When an organization or other entity is relevant, it remains available as an independent filter in the evidence index. Public-discourse topics are also tracked separately where they apply.
All 155 records
Canonical verdict distribution.
Promises and forecasts use strict pass/fail categories when resolved; factual assertions retain the nuanced categories shown here. All 7 canonical outcomes come from the current classification key.
- True
- 19
- Mostly True
- 3
- Misleading
- 14
- Unsupported
- 11
- False
- 91
- Pending
- 12
- Unresolved
- 5
Challenge the weights
Recalculate the score yourself.
The published verdicts stay fixed. Change how much credit each score tier receives and see the result immediately.
Your weighting22.5%
Published score22.5%
The complete evidence index
The record, claim by claim.
Search all 155 records. Open any claim to inspect its original source, measured outcome, scoring contribution, confidence, contestation status, and intent status.
Showing 155 of 155 claims
- Open evidence record
A PayPal SEC filing represented Musk as receiving a B.S. in Physics and a B.S. in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania in 1995.
The underlying education was real, but University of Pennsylvania alumni material identifies Musk as W’97 and C’97 and describes a B.S. in economics and B.A. in physics. The filing misstated both the physics degree type and the award year.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Build a high-end electric sports car as the first step in Tesla's product plan.
Tesla put the Roadster into regular production in March 2008.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Use the initial car program to fund progressively more affordable electric cars.
Tesla eventually launched the mass-market Model 3, although the promised $35,000 version arrived after higher-priced versions.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Offer zero-emission electric power generation options alongside electric cars.
Tesla sells solar panels, Solar Roof and battery products, but the broad scale implied by the plan is not objectively measurable.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Deliver Tesla's next five-passenger sports sedan in 2010.
Customer deliveries of Model S began in June 2012, roughly two years after the promised 2010 delivery year.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Reach Mars in about 10 years.
SpaceX had not sent a spacecraft to Mars by 2021 or by the evaluation date.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Reach Mars within 15 to 20 years in the worst case.
The earliest edge of the stated worst-case window had arrived, but the full window runs through roughly 2031.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
People would reach Mars in 12 to 15 years, and in less than 20 years.
No human has reached Mars, but the most-likely window does not fully expire until July 2027 and the broader outer bound is later.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
Begin Model X production in late 2014.
Model X deliveries began in September 2015.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Tesla would achieve complete autonomous driving in about three years.
Tesla's consumer system remained supervised and required an attentive driver through the evaluation date.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Sell a base Model 3 for about $35,000.
Tesla made a $35,000 Model 3 available in February 2019, after selling more expensive versions first.
False — Unfulfilled0% - Open evidence record
Produce about 500,000 vehicles annually by 2020.
Tesla produced 509,737 vehicles in 2020; deliveries were 499,550.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Create a smoothly integrated solar-roof and battery product.
Tesla sells Solar Roof integrated with Powerwall energy storage.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Unveil a heavy-duty truck the following year.
Tesla unveiled the Semi in November 2017.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Unveil a high-passenger-density urban transport vehicle the following year.
Tesla did not unveil a bus or comparable high-density urban transport vehicle in 2017.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Let owners add autonomous Teslas to a shared fleet and earn money when true self-driving was approved.
The owner-operated Tesla Network has not launched, but the promise was expressly conditional on autonomy and regulatory approval.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
Demonstrate a fully self-driven Los Angeles-to-New York trip by the end of 2017.
Tesla did not complete the promised autonomous cross-country demonstration by the deadline.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Launch Model 3 without needing a capital raise.
Tesla announced a roughly $1.15 billion stock and notes offering in March 2017 and later issued additional debt before Model 3 scaled.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Launch Falcon Heavy during 2017 after repeated schedule revisions.
Falcon Heavy's first flight occurred on February 6, 2018.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Hand over the first 30 customer Model 3 vehicles on July 28, 2017.
Tesla held the first Model 3 handover event on July 28, 2017.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Produce more than 1,500 Model 3 vehicles in September 2017.
Tesla produced only 260 Model 3 vehicles in the entire third quarter of 2017.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Reach 20,000 Model 3 vehicles per month in December 2017.
Tesla produced 2,425 Model 3 vehicles during the whole fourth quarter and ended the year near a 1,000-per-week rate.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Said he had received verbal U.S. government approval for an underground New York-to-Washington route.
A White House adviser said Musk had received expressions of excitement, not government approval; formal approvals had not been granted.
False0% - Open evidence record
Reach a Model 3 production rate of 5,000 per week by the end of 2017.
Tesla ended 2017 near 1,000 Model 3 vehicles per week.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Reach 10,000 Model 3 vehicles per week toward the end of 2018.
Tesla did not reach a sustained 10,000-per-week Model 3 production rate in 2018.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Begin Tesla Semi production in 2019.
Tesla made its first Semi customer deliveries in December 2022.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Demonstrate a fully loaded Tesla Semi capable of 500 miles.
Tesla reported a 500-mile trip with a fully loaded Semi before first deliveries; independent detail is limited.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Start production of the next-generation Roadster in 2020.
The Roadster did not enter production in 2020 and remained unreleased through the evaluation date.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Reach approximately 5,000 Model 3 vehicles per week by late Q1 2018.
Tesla reported a best week of 2,270 Model 3 vehicles before an April shutdown.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Open the first Los Angeles-area test tunnel on December 10, 2018.
The tunnel was unveiled on December 18, 2018, eight days after the announced opening date.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Predicted that OpenAI was on a path to certain failure unless it merged with or attached itself to Tesla.
OpenAI did not merge with Tesla and nevertheless survived, attracted major capital, deployed widely used products, and became a leading AI organization. That directly falsified the “certain failure” forecast.
False — Incorrect Forecast0% - Open evidence record
Complete the coast-to-coast autonomous drive in three to six months.
The coast-to-coast autonomous demonstration still did not occur in that window.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Presented his departure from OpenAI as resulting from a potential conflict with Tesla’s growing AI work.
The conflict explanation had a factual basis, but later records indicate it was not necessarily the sole or complete reason for Musk’s departure.
UnresolvedExcluded - Open evidence record
Become profitable in Q3 2018 and remain profitable on a sustained quarterly basis.
Tesla posted Q3 2018 profit but did not maintain uninterrupted quarterly profitability until later; Reuters identifies sustained profits beginning after Q3 2019.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Reach 5,000 Model 3 vehicles per week by the end of Q2 2018.
Tesla reported 5,031 Model 3 vehicles in the final seven days of Q2, but Reuters reported the milestone was reached hours after the quarter-end deadline.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Begin drilling the Chicago airport express tunnel within three to four months, subject to approvals.
The Chicago project did not begin drilling and was never built.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Make the Chicago airport express operational 18 to 24 months after drilling began.
No Chicago airport tunnel service opened.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Begin enabling full self-driving features with Tesla Version 9 in the August 2018 update.
Version 9 arrived later in 2018 with Navigate on Autopilot, but it remained a driver-assistance feature rather than full autonomous driving.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Increase Model 3 production to 6,000 per week by late August 2018.
Tesla averaged roughly 4,300 Model 3 vehicles per week in Q3 2018 rather than sustaining 6,000.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Stated that funding was secured to take Tesla private at $420 per share.
Tesla was not taken private. The SEC alleged the funding was not secured; Musk and Tesla settled without admitting or denying wrongdoing. A separate civil jury later found Musk not liable to investors.
Unsupported25% - Open evidence record
Said he founded PayPal and X.com.
Musk founded X.com, which merged with Confinity. SEC filings state that Confinity developed the original PayPal product; the merged X.com entity later changed its name to PayPal. Musk was central to the corporate lineage but did not independently found the original PayPal product.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Fly Japanese billionaire Yusaku Maezawa and artists around the Moon in 2023.
The mission did not fly in 2023 and Maezawa canceled it in 2024 because the schedule remained uncertain.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Accused cave rescuer Vernon Unsworth of being a child rapist and of moving to Thailand for a child bride.
Musk supplied no substantiating evidence. A later jury rejected Unsworth’s defamation claim under the applicable legal standard, but that verdict did not establish the criminal accusation as true; Musk testified that his earlier phrase was not meant literally.
Unsupported25% - Open evidence record
Offer free rides to the public in the Hawthorne tunnel in the coming months.
The Hawthorne tunnel remained a test facility rather than becoming a regular free public transport service.
False — Unfulfilled0% - Open evidence record
Have one million Tesla robotaxis operating by the end of 2020.
Tesla had no public driverless robotaxi network at the end of 2020.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Produce a vehicle without a steering wheel or pedals in about two years.
Tesla did not produce such a vehicle by 2021; it unveiled a Cybercab prototype in 2024 and production remained future-dated.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Obtain regulatory approval for human brain-implant trials by the end of 2020.
The FDA cleared Neuralink's first-in-human study in May 2023, well after the 2020 target.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Reach about 1,000 Solar Roof installations per week by the end of 2019.
Independent market estimates years later remained far below 1,000 installations per week.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Send Starship to orbit in less than six months.
The first integrated Starship flight test occurred in April 2023 and did not complete a full orbit.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Fly people on Starship in the following year.
Starship had not carried people by 2020 or by the evaluation date.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Have Crew Dragon hardware ready for a crewed launch within roughly three to four months.
The Crew Dragon spacecraft arrived in Florida in mid-February 2020 and the crewed launch occurred May 30, outside the roughly January-to-February readiness window.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Begin Cybertruck production and deliveries in late 2021.
Initial customer deliveries began in November 2023.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Offer an entry Cybertruck at about $39,900.
Tesla announced a starting price of $60,990 at the 2023 delivery launch, over 50 percent above the original figure.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Offer a top Cybertruck with more than 500 miles of range.
The longest-range launch configuration was rated around 340 miles; an optional extender was projected to reach roughly 470 miles.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Produce 20 million vehicles annually by 2030.
The deadline is still future, although Tesla stopped highlighting the 20-million target in later impact reporting.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
Begin a limited public release of Tesla’s rewritten Full Self-Driving Beta within six to ten weeks.
Tesla began the limited FSD Beta rollout on October 20, 2020, within the original six-to-ten-week window.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Produce a fully autonomous Tesla costing about $25,000 in roughly three years.
No $25,000 Tesla launched by 2023. Reuters reported the dedicated low-cost project was canceled, and Musk later called a human-driven $25,000 Tesla pointless.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Release a monthly Full Self-Driving subscription early in 2021.
Tesla launched the FSD subscription in July 2021.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Begin initial human trials later in 2021 if safety work and FDA discussions went well.
Neuralink did not begin its first human implant trial until 2024.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Launch Tesla’s monthly Full Self-Driving subscription in May 2021, calling it a “sure thing.”
Tesla launched the Full Self-Driving subscription on July 16, 2021, after the promised May launch month.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Said he was the first person with Asperger’s to host Saturday Night Live, or at least the first to admit it.
Dan Aykroyd hosted SNL in 2003 and had publicly discussed his Asperger’s diagnosis before Musk’s 2021 appearance.
False0% - Open evidence record
Show a working Tesla Bot prototype in 2022.
Tesla demonstrated an early walking Optimus prototype in September 2022.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Said he would pay more than $11 billion in taxes for 2021.
Contemporaneous estimates placed his federal liability around $10.7 billion, with state taxes capable of pushing the total above $11 billion. His private return is unavailable, preventing exact independent confirmation.
Mostly True75% - Open evidence record
Starship would reach orbit during 2022.
The first integrated Starship test flight occurred in April 2023.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Build a new Starship and booster every month by the end of 2022.
In September 2022 Musk said full-stack production was roughly one every two months, half the promised one-per-month cadence, and the year ended without evidence that the target was reached.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Tesla would achieve self-driving technology ready for broad release by the end of 2022.
Tesla's system still required active driver supervision at year-end and through the evaluation date.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Perform Neuralink's first human implant during 2022.
The first human implant occurred in January 2024, after the 2022 target.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Make FSD Beta available to all eligible North American customers later in 2022.
Musk announced broad North American availability in November 2022, although the product remained supervised beta software.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Said NBC News covered up the Hunter Biden laptop story.
NBC News published and broadcast multiple reports about the laptop and related authentication questions, contradicting the claim of a cover-up.
False0% - Open evidence record
Make Starship reach orbit by the end of 2022.
The first integrated flight occurred in April 2023.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Create a diverse content-moderation council and make no major content decisions or account reinstatements before it convened.
Musk reinstated major accounts, including Donald Trump's, before any announced council convened; Twitter later dissolved its existing Trust and Safety Council.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Suggested there might be more to the attack on Paul Pelosi while linking to an unfounded conspiracy narrative.
Police evidence, court records, and the attacker’s own account contradicted the alternative narrative Musk amplified. The post was later deleted.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Keep the account tracking his private jet online despite the personal-safety risk, as evidence of his free-speech commitment.
Twitter suspended @ElonJet on December 14, 2022. PolitiFact classified the reversal as a Full Flop.
False — Reversed0% - Open evidence record
Make Twitter by far the most accurate source of information about the world.
The statement supplies neither a measurable definition of accuracy nor a deadline, so a pass/fail determination would be subjective.
UnresolvedExcluded - Open evidence record
Said Alex Jones would not be reinstated, explaining that he had no mercy for anyone who used children’s deaths for gain, politics, or fame.
X restored Alex Jones’s account on December 10, 2023 after Musk posted a poll and wrote that the people had spoken. The reinstatement reversed Musk’s November 2022 refusal.
False — Reversed0% - Open evidence record
Said his firstborn child died in his arms and that he felt the child’s last heartbeat.
Justine Musk publicly disputed the account, saying she was the person holding the child when he died and that emergency responders had resuscitated him before life support was withdrawn. Public evidence reviewed here does not independently resolve the precise circumstances.
Credibly ContestedExcluded - Open evidence record
Begin a general amnesty for suspended accounts the following week, excluding illegal activity and egregious spam.
Reuters reported by December 12 that Musk had reinstated accounts under a general amnesty, although the scale and consistent application of the exceptions were not independently auditable.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Said removing child exploitation was X / Twitter’s number-one priority.
The cited evidence documents serious enforcement and compliance failures, but it cannot independently establish or disprove X’s internal priority ranking.
UnresolvedExcluded - Open evidence record
Said Apple had threatened to withhold Twitter from the App Store.
Two days later Musk said Tim Cook made clear that Apple had never considered removing Twitter, calling the episode a misunderstanding.
False0% - Open evidence record
Begin human clinical trials within six months.
FDA clearance came in May 2023, but the first participant was implanted in January 2024, so actual human testing began later than six months.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Produce 50,000 Tesla Semi trucks in 2024.
The target was missed; Tesla later said its dedicated Nevada factory would begin production only by the end of 2025 and ramp in 2026.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Restore suspended journalists immediately after an X poll favored reinstatement.
The accounts of several suspended journalists were restored after the poll result.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Step down as Twitter chief executive after finding a successor.
Musk appointed Linda Yaccarino as CEO in May 2023 and moved to executive chair and chief technology officer roles.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Existing Tesla vehicles with Hardware 3 would be capable of unsupervised full self-driving.
In 2026 Musk acknowledged that Hardware 3 vehicles could not run the software needed for autonomous driving and said he wished it were otherwise.
False — Unfulfilled0% - Open evidence record
Publish Twitter's content-recommendation code on March 31, 2023.
Twitter published parts of the recommendation code on March 31, but Reuters described the release as only part of the relevant code.
False — Incomplete Scope0% - Open evidence record
Predicted that Twitter could become cash-flow positive in the second quarter of 2023.
On July 15, 2023, Musk said Twitter was still cash-flow negative because of an approximately 50% advertising-revenue decline and heavy debt load.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Said he donated the first $100 million to OpenAI.
OpenAI reported that the nonprofit received less than $45 million from Musk. Evidence presented in the 2026 trial placed his contributions at roughly $38 million, far below $100 million.
False0% - Open evidence record
Make the entirety of the recommendation code public within the next few weeks.
No documented complete release followed within weeks; X announced another broad open-source release nearly three years later.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Launch Starship's second flight in roughly six weeks after the first integrated test.
Starship's second integrated flight launched on November 18, 2023.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Said his father did not own an emerald mine.
Walter Isaacson’s reporting supports the narrow ownership denial: Errol Musk did not own a formal mine, although he acquired a share of emerald output from informal operations.
True100% - Open evidence record
Said there was no objective evidence whatsoever that the emerald operation described by his father ever existed.
Walter Isaacson reported that Errol Musk acquired a share of emerald output from three informal or black-market mines and sold emeralds, contradicting the blanket claim that the operation lacked objective evidence or never existed.
False0% - Open evidence record
Suggested that evidence linking the Allen, Texas, mass shooter to neo-Nazi beliefs could be a psychological operation.
Investigators, the shooter’s social-media history, and visible tattoos supported the conclusion that he held neo-Nazi views. The precise motive for the shooting remained a separate question.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Promised that users making false stolen-election claims on Twitter would be corrected, “100 percent.”
An AP/Zignal Labs review found the ten most widely shared rigged-election posts after the promise had no visible notes; a later study found 74% of sampled misleading election posts lacked displayed corrective notes.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Pay legal bills, with no stated limit, for users unfairly treated by employers because of posts or likes on X.
X paid Gina Carano's legal bills in her case against Disney, and the dispute later settled. The universal, no-limit wording cannot be verified for all eligible users.
UnresolvedExcluded - Open evidence record
Said the block feature would be deleted except for direct messages.
Reuters documented the announced plan in 2023. X’s current help center continues to provide instructions for blocking accounts and managing block lists.
False — Reversed0% - Open evidence record
Endorsed a broad accusation that Jewish communities promote hatred against white people, calling it “the actual truth.”
The broad accusation was not supported with credible evidence. Musk later apologized during a public interview, calling the post one of the most foolish things he had done online.
Unsupported25% - Open evidence record
Ship the next-generation Roadster in 2025.
The Roadster was not delivered in 2025 and remained unreleased by July 2026.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Have genuinely useful Optimus robots in low production for internal Tesla use during 2025.
In January 2026 Musk said Optimus remained in R&D, had performed only basic learning tasks, and was not used in Tesla factories in a material way.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
The first Neuralink product would let users control a phone or computer by thought.
The first participant controlled a computer cursor and later played online chess using the implant.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Said Biden's strategy was to bring in as many undocumented immigrants as possible and legalize them to create a permanent political majority.
PolitiFact found no evidence of such a strategy and noted the long, uncertain path from unauthorized entry to citizenship and voting eligibility.
Unsupported25% - Open evidence record
Said there was clear scientific consensus that hormonal birth control causes weight gain, doubles depression risk and triples suicide risk.
Evidence is mixed and method-dependent; experts rejected the claim of a clear consensus and the stated universal risk multipliers.
False0% - Open evidence record
Said Democrats avoid deportations because every undocumented migrant is a highly likely future vote.
The claim lacked evidence, ignored deportations under Democratic administrations and conflated undocumented status with future citizenship and voting eligibility.
Unsupported25% - Open evidence record
Alleged that OpenAI’s founding agreement required its code and technology to remain open to the public rather than be closed for private gain.
OpenAI began with an open-collaboration mission, but released emails show Musk agreed that “open” did not necessarily require publishing all AGI science or code. The asserted permanent, comprehensive open-source requirement overstates the documented agreement.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Alleged that OpenAI had become a closed-source, maximum-profit de facto subsidiary controlled by Microsoft.
Microsoft had major economic and operational influence, but OpenAI’s nonprofit board formally governed the organization at the time and the 2019 structure used capped investor returns rather than an uncapped maximum-profit model.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Alleged that OpenAI’s leaders secretly betrayed a binding agreement to remain nonprofit and never pursue a for-profit structure.
Released emails show Musk himself supported creating a for-profit entity, sought majority equity and control, and proposed merging OpenAI into Tesla. That conflicts with the broad claim that he had secured and consistently defended a permanent no-for-profit agreement.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Presented himself as having consistently opposed converting OpenAI into a for-profit enterprise.
Emails from 2015 through 2018 show Musk questioned the nonprofit structure, supported a for-profit, created a proposed public-benefit corporation, and sought control of the new entity. His later objection was not a consistent opposition to any for-profit structure.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Starship would reach Mars within five years.
The deadline remains in the future.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
Said Democrats would lose approximately 20 House seats and corresponding electoral votes if undocumented immigrants were excluded from apportionment.
Independent estimates found that excluding undocumented residents would shift only a few seats, with a much smaller and uncertain partisan effect than the roughly 20-seat claim.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
One million people would live on Mars in about 20 years.
The target is decades in the future and cannot yet be scored.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
Asserted that Reuters was lying when it reported Tesla had canceled the all-new $25,000 EV project.
Reuters later reported that senior Tesla executives knew Musk had already canceled the project and questioned his public denial; Musk reportedly told them the project remained dead.
Unsupported25% - Open evidence record
Unveil Tesla’s robotaxi on August 8, 2024.
Musk confirmed the August 8 event was delayed; Tesla held the robotaxi event in October 2024.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Reach high Optimus production for external companies during 2026.
The 2026 external-production target remains open through December 31, 2026 and is not yet scored.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
Amplified and affirmatively adopted the claim that Haitian immigrants in Springfield were harming or eating residents’ pets, using it as a reason to vote against Kamala Harris.
Springfield police and officials said there were no credible reports of Haitian immigrants stealing or eating pets; supporting images and incidents circulated online were unrelated or misrepresented.
False0% - Open evidence record
Said CBP One approval took under five minutes with no documentation and included free government flights into the United States.
PolitiFact found that the process required biographical and identity information, screening and an in-person appointment; the app itself did not grant immigration status or free flights.
False0% - Open evidence record
Represented America PAC’s daily $1 million voter awards as random prizes to petition signers.
In court, counsel for America PAC said recipients were selected and vetted as paid spokespeople, not chosen randomly as the promotion had implied.
False0% - Open evidence record
Suggested that Michigan had more eligible active voters than voting-age citizens and that the excess registrations created a major election-fraud risk.
Michigan had 7.2 million active registered voters and about 7.9 million voting-age citizens; the higher total-registration figure included inactive records retained temporarily under state and federal law.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Denied that he worked illegally while launching Zip2, saying he was in fact allowed to work in the United States.
Washington Post reporting based on company records, former associates, court materials, immigration experts, and a 2005 Musk email found that Musk lacked work authorization during at least part of Zip2’s early period. An investment agreement required the Musk brothers to obtain legal work status within 45 days, and Musk later wrote that he had no legal right to stay in the country at one point.
False0% - Open evidence record
Suggested Google deliberately favored Kamala Harris by displaying voting information for searches involving her name but not Donald Trump’s.
The result was triggered because Harris and Vance are also county names, not because Google favored a candidate. Musk later acknowledged Google’s explanation.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Said Senator Bob Casey was trying to change the election outcome by counting noncitizen votes.
The litigation concerned provisional ballots with date or signature defects from otherwise eligible voters, not ballots cast by noncitizens.
False0% - Open evidence record
Send several uncrewed Starships to Mars in two years.
The target date had not arrived by the evaluation date.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
If the uncrewed missions succeeded, send crewed ships to Mars in four years.
The deadline and prerequisite remain in the future.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
Said a congressional spending bill would give members of Congress a 40% pay raise.
The maximum adjustment under the proposal was approximately 3.8%. The 40% figure came from comparing current pay with a hypothetical inflation-adjusted amount, not from the legislation.
False0% - Open evidence record
Said Tommy Robinson was jailed and isolated for telling the truth.
Robinson admitted contempt for breaching a court injunction after a libel judgment. Reuters also reported that his segregation was maintained for safety reasons. The cited legal record does not support the claim that he was jailed for telling the truth.
False0% - Open evidence record
Accused UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer of being complicit in the sexual abuse scandal involving grooming gangs.
Reuters reported that, as director of public prosecutions, Starmer brought the first major grooming-gang prosecution, reopened cases, and oversaw changes intended to improve prosecutions. The evidence does not substantiate the accusation that he was complicit in abuse.
Unsupported25% - Open evidence record
Promoted the claim that DOGE had stopped approximately $50 million in U.S. spending on condoms for Gaza.
Reuters found no publicly available evidence of the alleged $50 million condom program. International Medical Corps said U.S. funding supported medical care in Gaza and was not used to procure or distribute condoms.
False0% - Open evidence record
Promoted the claim that USAID paid or funded Politico approximately $8 million, implying a media payoff or subsidy.
Reuters and FactCheck.org found that federal agencies bought subscriptions to Politico Pro and other news services. USAID payments were about $44,000, while the broader multi-agency total was not evidence of a subsidy or payoff.
False0% - Open evidence record
Said FEMA sent $59 million in disaster-relief money to luxury New York hotels for migrants.
The funding came from a separate congressionally appropriated migrant-shelter program, not FEMA's disaster-relief fund.
False0% - Open evidence record
Said Social Security records contained people recorded as roughly 150 years old.
The underlying database did contain implausibly old records, largely because many entries lacked death information. This narrow rating does not endorse the separate implication that those records were receiving benefits.
True100% - Open evidence record
Suggested USAID officials had accumulated tens of millions of dollars through corruption.
Musk supplied no evidence establishing the allegation, and public financial disclosures did not substantiate the circulated wealth claims about USAID Administrator Samantha Power.
Unsupported25% - Open evidence record
Said Reuters received government money for large-scale social deception.
The contract involved a separate Thomson Reuters subsidiary testing defenses against social-engineering attacks. The phrase described the type of attack being studied, not government funding for Reuters to deceive the public.
False0% - Open evidence record
Presented more than 398 million Social Security records as evidence of potentially historic fraud.
The records were not a count of current beneficiaries. They included deceased people, expatriates, temporary workers, and others whose numbers remained in the system; roughly 68 million people were actually receiving benefits.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Said two American astronauts were left aboard the International Space Station for political reasons.
NASA, the astronauts, and independent experts attributed the extended mission to spacecraft safety concerns and operational planning. The return plan predated the political intervention Musk described.
Unsupported25% - Open evidence record
Said President Biden's immigration policy was a giant voter-importation scam.
PolitiFact found no evidence of a plan to import voters; noncitizens cannot lawfully vote in federal elections and naturalization generally takes years.
Unsupported25% - Open evidence record
Called Social Security the biggest Ponzi scheme of all time.
PolitiFact rated the analogy False: Social Security is a transparent, legally authorized social-insurance program, not a fraudulent investment scheme.
False0% - Open evidence record
Said Starlink could not operate in South Africa because he was not Black.
South Africa had ownership and economic-empowerment requirements that created a real regulatory obstacle, but the rules applied to licensed companies and could be met through local ownership or equivalent arrangements. They did not bar Starlink simply because of Musk’s race.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Launch Starship toward Mars at the end of 2026 carrying an Optimus robot.
The target date had not arrived by July 2026.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
Begin human Mars landings as early as 2029, with 2031 more likely.
The stated window remains in the future.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
Said South Africa’s Economic Freedom Fighters were actively promoting white genocide.
AP documented the song’s inflammatory history and the EFF’s use of it, but also noted that the party is a small opposition movement and that South African legal and political context does not establish an active genocide campaign.
Misleading50% - Open evidence record
Asserted or amplified that a white genocide was occurring in South Africa.
South African crime affects all racial groups and most homicide victims are Black. Reuters reported that police data and court findings did not support the claim of a targeted white genocide, while AP documented the narrative as discredited.
False0% - Open evidence record
Complete most of the work needed to cut $1 trillion in federal spending within his approximately 130-day government tenure.
DOGE reported $180 billion in claimed savings when Musk left, far below the revised $1 trillion target, and independent analysts found errors and unverifiable items in the tally.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Unsupervised Tesla rides would carry passengers in Austin in June 2025.
Tesla began a small, invitation-only paid service in Austin on June 22 with a limited zone and front-seat safety monitors.
False — Incomplete Scope0% - Open evidence record
Operate unsupervised Tesla passenger service in many U.S. cities by the end of 2025.
By July 2026 Tesla still operated limited, small fleets in only a handful of cities rather than many cities nationwide.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Said DOGE had uncovered massive illegal voting by noncitizens sufficient to alter national elections.
No supporting DOGE dataset was released. State audits and prosecutions identify noncitizen voting as rare, not election-changing in the scale Musk claimed.
Unsupported25% - Open evidence record
Complete the first autonomous factory-to-customer Model Y delivery in June 2025.
Tesla completed a Model Y self-delivery on June 27, one day before the date Musk had subsequently specified.
True — Fulfilled as Stated100% - Open evidence record
Remove the Austin robotaxi safety driver by the end of 2025.
The New York Times reported that in 2026 Tesla offered rides without human safety monitors in Austin, Dallas and Houston.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Said New York City's ballot was a scam because mayoral candidates appeared twice.
Candidates appeared on multiple party lines under New York's longstanding fusion-voting system; voters could still vote for each candidate only once.
False0% - Open evidence record
Said it was illegal to show identification when voting in California and New York.
Voters may voluntarily present identification in both states, and some first-time voters can be required to provide it. The states restrict unnecessary demands for ID, not the act of showing one.
False0% - Open evidence record
Begin high-volume implant production and fully automated surgery during 2026.
The 2026 deadline had not elapsed by the evaluation date. Neuralink reported 21 enrolled trial participants in January 2026, but that does not establish high-volume production or fully automated surgery.
PendingExcluded - Open evidence record
Open-source the new X recommendation algorithm, including organic and advertising recommendation code, within seven days.
The initial public repository commit was dated January 20, 2026, three days after the January 17 deadline implied by “within seven days.”
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Publish algorithm updates and detailed developer notes every four weeks for the foreseeable future.
The public repository’s initial release was January 20, 2026; its next major algorithm update was May 15, roughly sixteen weeks later rather than four weeks.
False — Missed Deadline0% - Open evidence record
Amplified the claim that Pennsylvania received approximately 2.5 million mail ballots after sending only 1.8 million in the 2020 election.
The figures mixed different election periods. Pennsylvania approved roughly 2.67 million applications for the general election and received about 2.27 million completed mail ballots.
False0% - Open evidence record
Amplified a claim that Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine killed between 20,000 and 60,000 people in Germany.
The estimate treated passive safety reports as proven vaccine-caused deaths. German monitoring and epidemiological evidence did not substantiate tens of thousands of deaths caused by the vaccine.
False0% - Open evidence record
Tesla’s official biography says Musk co-founded Tesla.
Tesla was incorporated in 2003 by Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning. Musk joined as lead investor and board chair in 2004. A 2009 legal settlement recognized five people, including Musk, as co-founders, so the title is valid but incomplete without the chronology.
Mostly True75% - Open evidence record
Was described as having served as PayPal’s chairman and CEO.
SEC filings confirm Musk served as chief executive of X.com/PayPal during defined periods and remained a director. The broad profile wording omits that his PayPal CEO tenure ended in September 2000 and is less precise about the chairman title.
Mostly True75% - Open evidence record
Was described as PayPal’s largest shareholder until eBay acquired the company.
PayPal’s 2001 Form 10-K listed Musk with 7,109,989 shares, or 11.7%, the largest disclosed individual holding in the table before the eBay acquisition.
True100%
Audit the rules too