ELON MUSKTRUST RECORD

Dataset v5Evaluated Jul 26, 2026

Back to evidence index
X-007Jan 10, 2026Media & SocietyX / TwitterPromise or Commitment

Publish algorithm updates and detailed developer notes every four weeks for the foreseeable future.

False — Missed Deadline0%High confidence

Evidence chain

From statement to verdict.

  1. 01

    Original statement

    Publish algorithm updates and detailed developer notes every four weeks for the foreseeable future.

    Jan 10, 2026 · Promise or Commitment

  2. 02

    Measurable target

    Every four weeks beginning in 2026

    Repeated four-week schedule missed

  3. 03

    Observed outcome

    The public repository’s initial release was January 20, 2026; its next major algorithm update was May 15, roughly sixteen weeks later rather than four weeks.

    Evaluated Jul 26, 2026

  4. 04

    Verdict and score

    False — Missed Deadline

    0 of 100 points under the v5 rubric. Promise/forecast verdict: At least one matured material term failed, including a deadline miss, incomplete scope, reversal, or incorrect forecast. Factual verdict: Reliable evidence contradicts the central proposition.

Record details

How this row was evaluated.

Subject category
Media & Society
Organization or context
X / Twitter
Relationship to organization
Current affiliation
Assertion mode
Direct statement or documented commitment; exact mode not systematically classified in v2
Deadline result
Repeated four-week schedule missed
Eventual outcome
Update cadence not fulfilled
Factual accuracy
Not applicable
Strict promise result
Fail
Status rule version
strict-promise-v1.0
Canonical classification
False
Score points
0 / 100
Included in headline score
Yes
Research confidence
High
Credible-source contestation
No
Correction status
No correction documented in the cited evidence reviewed for this row
Deleted after challenge
Not established from the cited evidence
Repeated after correction
Not established from the cited evidence
Evidence-documented repetition count
At least 1 documented instance

Later-delivery context: Later outcome retained for context: The public repository’s initial release was January 20, 2026; its next major algorithm update was May 15, roughly sixteen weeks later rather than four weeks. Under strict-promise-v1.0, later delivery does not satisfy the original deadline or restore points.

Intent stays separate

Was intentional deception established?

No

Detailed assessment
Not established
Intent evidence level
0 / 3

Intent is not assessed because the underlying claim is Pending or Unresolved. The evidence does not first establish a settled inaccurate outcome from which a state-of-mind inquiry could responsibly proceed.

“No” does not mean the statement was true. It means the cited evidence did not meet the higher standard needed to establish the speaker's state of mind.

Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Intent evidence 2
Why this distinction matters

Evidence strength

A disclosed measure of evidence quality—not a probability.

Component scores measure source quality, corroboration, and directness. Verdict confidence begins with that evidence strength and applies the deductions documented in the methodology.

Evidence strength96of 100
Verdict confidence96High
Statement evidence quality26 / 30

Quality and directness of evidence that Musk made the statement.

Outcome evidence quality40 / 40

Quality of evidence establishing the outcome.

Corroboration15 / 15

Independent corroboration across sources and domains.

Directness15 / 15

How directly the evidence resolves the proposition.

Evidence sources
4
Independent source domains
2
Claim audit
Complete
Source audit
Pass

Source fields and evidence metrics populated.

Citations

Read the underlying sources.

Original statement · Tier 1 independent quoting MuskMusk's X to open source new algorithm in seven daysOpen source (opens in a new tab)Primary outcome sourceInitial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026Open source (opens in a new tab)Additional outcome source 1Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026Open source (opens in a new tab)

Field-level evaluation audit

Every calculated output carries its own evidence basis.

Open any of the 12 audited outputs to see its calculated value, written basis, rule, and cited sources.

01Deadline resultRepeated four-week schedule missed

Evidence basis

Compared the original target/timeframe (“Every four weeks beginning in 2026”) with the documented outcome. Result: Repeated four-week schedule missed. Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/e414c171ed68266341193330bc4864bf3f3534e3; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Compare original target with documented timing.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4
02Eventual outcomeUpdate cadence not fulfilled

Evidence basis

Classified the later real-world result independently from the headline verdict. Result: Update cadence not fulfilled. Documented outcome: The public repository’s initial release was January 20, 2026; its next major algorithm update was May 15, roughly sixteen weeks later rather than four weeks. Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/e414c171ed68266341193330bc4864bf3f3534e3; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Classify the later real-world outcome separately from the headline verdict.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4
03Factual accuracyNot applicable

Evidence basis

Compared the normalized proposition with the cited records. Result: Not applicable. Documented outcome: The public repository’s initial release was January 20, 2026; its next major algorithm update was May 15, roughly sixteen weeks later rather than four weeks. Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/e414c171ed68266341193330bc4864bf3f3534e3; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Compare the normalized factual proposition with cited evidence.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4
04Canonical verdictFalse

Evidence basis

Strict promise rule: pass only when every material term, including timing, scope, quantity, capability, price, and permanence, was met. Any matured material miss is False and earns 0; later delivery is contextual only. Applied result: False (False — Missed Deadline). Evidence finding: The public repository’s initial release was January 20, 2026; its next major algorithm update was May 15, roughly sixteen weeks later rather than four weeks. Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/e414c171ed68266341193330bc4864bf3f3534e3; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Apply strict promise rule or published factual-claim classification.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4
05Score points0

Evidence basis

Score assigned mechanically from verdict and claim type under strict-promise-v1.0: False = 0 points.

Calculation rule

Map verdict mechanically to points under the applicable rule.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4
06Inclusion in the Trust ScoreYes

Evidence basis

Included because the claim has a resolved evidence-based verdict.

Calculation rule

Include only resolved evidence-based verdicts.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4
07Research confidenceHigh

Evidence basis

Evidence strength 96/100 = statement 26/30 + outcome 40/40 + corroboration 15/15 + directness 15/15. Published deductions yield verdict confidence 96/100 (High).

Calculation rule

Calculate from evidence components and published deductions.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4
08Credible-source contestationNo

Evidence basis

Credible-source contestation: No. Resolution: No material contestation identified in the cited evidence. Evidence URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/e414c171ed68266341193330bc4864bf3f3534e3; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Record material credible-source disagreement separately from verdict.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4
09Correction statusNo correction documented in the cited evidence reviewed for this row

Evidence basis

Correction status is bounded to the cited record: No correction documented in the cited evidence reviewed for this row. Evidence URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/e414c171ed68266341193330bc4864bf3f3534e3; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Bound correction finding to cited evidence.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4
10Repetition after correctionNot established from the cited evidence

Evidence basis

Repeated after correction: Not established from the cited evidence. Minimum documented repetition count: At least 1 documented instance. Evidence URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/e414c171ed68266341193330bc4864bf3f3534e3; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Bound repetition finding to cited evidence.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4
11Intentional-deception answerNo

Evidence basis

Intent is not assessed because the underlying claim is Pending or Unresolved. The evidence does not first establish a settled inaccurate outcome from which a state-of-mind inquiry could responsibly proceed.

Calculation rule

Require direct admission, adjudicated intent finding, or comparably conclusive state-of-mind evidence.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4
12Strict promise resultFail

Evidence basis

Strict promise rule: pass only when every material term, including timing, scope, quantity, capability, price, and permanence, was met. Any matured material miss is False and earns 0; later delivery is contextual only. Applied result: False (False — Missed Deadline). Evidence finding: The public repository’s initial release was January 20, 2026; its next major algorithm update was May 15, roughly sixteen weeks later rather than four weeks. Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/e414c171ed68266341193330bc4864bf3f3534e3; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Pass only if every material promise or forecast term was met; otherwise Fail, Pending, Unresolved, or Not applicable.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
96 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026 Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026 Evidence source 4

Audit trail

Selection and scoring notes.

v5 classification rationale
Strict promise rule: pass only when every material term, including timing, scope, quantity, capability, price, and permanence, was met. Any matured material miss is False and earns 0; later delivery is contextual only. Applied result: False (False — Missed Deadline). Evidence finding: The public repository’s initial release was January 20, 2026; its next major algorithm update was May 15, roughly sixteen weeks later rather than four weeks. Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; Next major public X Recommendation Algorithm update, May 15, 2026. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/e414c171ed68266341193330bc4864bf3f3534e3; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm
v4 → v5 source-package migration audit
Reclassified. verdict: Unresolved -> False display: Unresolved -> False — Missed Deadline score: -> 0 inclusion: No -> Yes Reviewed under strict deadline-and-terms pass/fail rule; later delivery cannot earn partial credit.
Selection basis
High-impact, concrete, externally verifiable claim or dated commitment
Source quality
Primary source and/or major wire, official record, or established fact-checker V4 evidence metrics: statement 26/30; outcome 20/40; corroboration 0/15; directness 8/15.
Methodology note
V5 uses strict-promise-v1.0. Later delivery does not earn partial credit for a missed dated promise. Excluded from the v2 Trust Score as Unresolved: A complete four-week publication cadence cannot be independently audited from the available public record.