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X-006Jan 10, 2026Media & SocietyX / TwitterPromise or Commitment

Open-source the new X recommendation algorithm, including organic and advertising recommendation code, within seven days.

False — Missed Deadline0%High confidence

Evidence chain

From statement to verdict.

  1. 01

    Original statement

    Open-source the new X recommendation algorithm, including organic and advertising recommendation code, within seven days.

    Jan 10, 2026 · Promise or Commitment

  2. 02

    Measurable target

    2026-01-17

    Missed by about three days

  3. 03

    Observed outcome

    The initial public repository commit was dated January 20, 2026, three days after the January 17 deadline implied by “within seven days.”

    Evaluated Jul 26, 2026

  4. 04

    Verdict and score

    False — Missed Deadline

    0 of 100 points under the v5 rubric. Promise/forecast verdict: At least one matured material term failed, including a deadline miss, incomplete scope, reversal, or incorrect forecast. Factual verdict: Reliable evidence contradicts the central proposition.

Record details

How this row was evaluated.

Subject category
Media & Society
Organization or context
X / Twitter
Relationship to organization
Current affiliation
Assertion mode
Direct statement or documented commitment; exact mode not systematically classified in v2
Deadline result
Missed by about three days
Eventual outcome
Released after the deadline
Factual accuracy
Not applicable
Strict promise result
Fail
Status rule version
strict-promise-v1.0
Canonical classification
False
Score points
0 / 100
Included in headline score
Yes
Research confidence
High
Credible-source contestation
No
Correction status
No correction documented in the cited evidence reviewed for this row
Deleted after challenge
Not established from the cited evidence
Repeated after correction
Not established from the cited evidence
Evidence-documented repetition count
At least 1 documented instance

Intent stays separate

Was intentional deception established?

No

Detailed assessment
Not established
Intent evidence level
0 / 3

The cited evidence supports the central claim with qualifications. The documented imprecision or omitted context does not establish a knowing intent to deceive.

“No” does not mean the statement was true. It means the cited evidence did not meet the higher standard needed to establish the speaker's state of mind.

Why this distinction matters

Evidence strength

A disclosed measure of evidence quality—not a probability.

Component scores measure source quality, corroboration, and directness. Verdict confidence begins with that evidence strength and applies the deductions documented in the methodology.

Evidence strength87of 100
Verdict confidence87High
Statement evidence quality26 / 30

Quality and directness of evidence that Musk made the statement.

Outcome evidence quality38 / 40

Quality of evidence establishing the outcome.

Corroboration8 / 15

Independent corroboration across sources and domains.

Directness15 / 15

How directly the evidence resolves the proposition.

Evidence sources
5
Independent source domains
3
Claim audit
Complete
Source audit
Pass

Source fields and evidence metrics populated.

Citations

Read the underlying sources.

Field-level evaluation audit

Every calculated output carries its own evidence basis.

Open any of the 12 audited outputs to see its calculated value, written basis, rule, and cited sources.

01Deadline resultMissed by about three days

Evidence basis

Compared the original target/timeframe (“2026-01-17”) with the documented outcome. Result: Missed by about three days. Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; xai-org/x-algorithm repository. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm; https://techcrunch.com/2026/01/20/x-open-sources-its-algorithm-while-facing-a-transparency-fine-and-grok-controversies/; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Compare original target with documented timing.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
02Eventual outcomeReleased after the deadline

Evidence basis

Classified the later real-world result independently from the headline verdict. Result: Released after the deadline. Documented outcome: The initial public repository commit was dated January 20, 2026, three days after the January 17 deadline implied by “within seven days.” Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; xai-org/x-algorithm repository. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm; https://techcrunch.com/2026/01/20/x-open-sources-its-algorithm-while-facing-a-transparency-fine-and-grok-controversies/; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Classify the later real-world outcome separately from the headline verdict.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
03Factual accuracyNot applicable

Evidence basis

Compared the normalized proposition with the cited records. Result: Not applicable. Documented outcome: The initial public repository commit was dated January 20, 2026, three days after the January 17 deadline implied by “within seven days.” Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; xai-org/x-algorithm repository. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm; https://techcrunch.com/2026/01/20/x-open-sources-its-algorithm-while-facing-a-transparency-fine-and-grok-controversies/; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Compare the normalized factual proposition with cited evidence.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
04Canonical verdictFalse

Evidence basis

Strict promise rule: pass only when every material term, including timing, scope, quantity, capability, price, and permanence, was met. Any matured material miss is False and earns 0; later delivery is contextual only. Applied result: False (False — Missed Deadline). Evidence finding: The initial public repository commit was dated January 20, 2026, three days after the January 17 deadline implied by “within seven days.” Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; xai-org/x-algorithm repository. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm; https://techcrunch.com/2026/01/20/x-open-sources-its-algorithm-while-facing-a-transparency-fine-and-grok-controversies/; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Apply strict promise rule or published factual-claim classification.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
05Score points0

Evidence basis

Score assigned mechanically from verdict and claim type under strict-promise-v1.0: False = 0 points.

Calculation rule

Map verdict mechanically to points under the applicable rule.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
06Inclusion in the Trust ScoreYes

Evidence basis

Included because the claim has a resolved evidence-based verdict.

Calculation rule

Include only resolved evidence-based verdicts.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
07Research confidenceHigh

Evidence basis

Evidence strength 87/100 = statement 26/30 + outcome 38/40 + corroboration 8/15 + directness 15/15. Published deductions yield verdict confidence 87/100 (High).

Calculation rule

Calculate from evidence components and published deductions.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
08Credible-source contestationNo

Evidence basis

Credible-source contestation: No. Resolution: No material contestation identified in the cited evidence. Evidence URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm; https://techcrunch.com/2026/01/20/x-open-sources-its-algorithm-while-facing-a-transparency-fine-and-grok-controversies/; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Record material credible-source disagreement separately from verdict.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
09Correction statusNo correction documented in the cited evidence reviewed for this row

Evidence basis

Correction status is bounded to the cited record: No correction documented in the cited evidence reviewed for this row. Evidence URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm; https://techcrunch.com/2026/01/20/x-open-sources-its-algorithm-while-facing-a-transparency-fine-and-grok-controversies/; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Bound correction finding to cited evidence.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
10Repetition after correctionNot established from the cited evidence

Evidence basis

Repeated after correction: Not established from the cited evidence. Minimum documented repetition count: At least 1 documented instance. Evidence URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm; https://techcrunch.com/2026/01/20/x-open-sources-its-algorithm-while-facing-a-transparency-fine-and-grok-controversies/; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Bound repetition finding to cited evidence.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
11Intentional-deception answerNo

Evidence basis

The cited evidence supports the central claim with qualifications. The documented imprecision or omitted context does not establish a knowing intent to deceive.

Calculation rule

Require direct admission, adjudicated intent finding, or comparably conclusive state-of-mind evidence.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
12Strict promise resultFail

Evidence basis

Strict promise rule: pass only when every material term, including timing, scope, quantity, capability, price, and permanence, was met. Any matured material miss is False and earns 0; later delivery is contextual only. Applied result: False (False — Missed Deadline). Evidence finding: The initial public repository commit was dated January 20, 2026, three days after the January 17 deadline implied by “within seven days.” Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; xai-org/x-algorithm repository. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm; https://techcrunch.com/2026/01/20/x-open-sources-its-algorithm-while-facing-a-transparency-fine-and-grok-controversies/; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm

Calculation rule

Pass only if every material promise or forecast term was met; otherwise Fail, Pending, Unresolved, or Not applicable.

Evidence strength
87 / 100
Verdict confidence
87 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete

Audit trail

Selection and scoring notes.

v5 classification rationale
Strict promise rule: pass only when every material term, including timing, scope, quantity, capability, price, and permanence, was met. Any matured material miss is False and earns 0; later delivery is contextual only. Applied result: False (False — Missed Deadline). Evidence finding: The initial public repository commit was dated January 20, 2026, three days after the January 17 deadline implied by “within seven days.” Evidence: Musk's X to open source new algorithm in seven days; Initial open-source X Recommendation Algorithm commit, January 20, 2026; xai-org/x-algorithm repository. URLs: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/musks-x-open-source-new-algorithm-seven-days-2026-01-10/; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm/commit/aaa167b3de8a674587c53545a43c90eaad360010; https://github.com/xai-org/x-algorithm; https://techcrunch.com/2026/01/20/x-open-sources-its-algorithm-while-facing-a-transparency-fine-and-grok-controversies/; https://github.com/twitter/the-algorithm
v4 → v5 source-package migration audit
Reclassified. verdict: Mostly True -> False display: Fulfilled Slightly Late -> False — Missed Deadline score: 75 -> 0 Reviewed under strict deadline-and-terms pass/fail rule; later delivery cannot earn partial credit.
Selection basis
High-impact, concrete, externally verifiable claim or dated commitment
Source quality
Primary source and/or major wire, official record, or established fact-checker V4 evidence metrics: statement 26/30; outcome 20/40; corroboration 15/15; directness 12/15.
Methodology note
V5 uses strict-promise-v1.0. Later delivery does not earn partial credit for a missed dated promise. Scored under the v2 Mostly True category at 75 points. This verdict measures demonstrated reliability and does not by itself establish deceptive intent.