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Visualization section · Dataset v5

See the pattern, not just the headline.

Annual trends, raw counts, verdict composition, subject categories, and claim types show what changed—and how much the sample size shapes what appears to change.

Direction over time

More honest, more dishonest, or somewhere between?

The annual lines normalize each year to percentages. Point details expose the underlying number of tracked and scored claims.

2016–202015.6%45 scored claims
2021–202523.1%78 scored claims
Change+7.5 ptsHigher recent-window score
The chart does not prove an honesty trend.

The 2021–2025 window can be compared with 2016–2020 in this corpus, but annual samples range from 1 to 26 records and the topics selected change over time. This is a view of the tracked dataset, not a random sample of everything Musk said in each year. A False verdict also does not by itself establish a deliberate lie. 2 genuinely undated records are excluded from the yearly charts rather than assigned an invented date.

Annual Trust Score and False share by statement yearTwo percentage lines from 2002 through 2026. Point details and sample sizes are available by hovering, tapping, or focusing a year, with a complete data table below.0%25%50%75%100%020608111213151617181920212223242526Statement year · labels show the final two digits2002: Trust Score 50.0%; False share 0.0%; 0 False of 1 tracked records.2006: Trust Score 100.0%; False share 0.0%; 0 False of 3 tracked records.2008: Trust Score 0.0%; False share 100.0%; 1 False of 1 tracked records.2011: Trust Score 0.0%; False share 50.0%; 1 False of 2 tracked records.2012: Trust Score Not scored; False share 0.0%; 0 False of 1 tracked records.2013: Trust Score 0.0%; False share 100.0%; 1 False of 1 tracked records.2015: Trust Score 0.0%; False share 100.0%; 1 False of 1 tracked records.2016: Trust Score 42.9%; False share 50.0%; 4 False of 8 tracked records.2017: Trust Score 18.2%; False share 81.8%; 9 False of 11 tracked records.2018: Trust Score 7.1%; False share 73.3%; 11 False of 15 tracked records.2019: Trust Score 0.0%; False share 100.0%; 10 False of 10 tracked records.2020: Trust Score 33.3%; False share 50.0%; 2 False of 4 tracked records.2021: Trust Score 35.0%; False share 60.0%; 3 False of 5 tracked records.2022: Trust Score 26.5%; False share 60.0%; 12 False of 20 tracked records.2023: Trust Score 14.6%; False share 69.2%; 9 False of 13 tracked records.2024: Trust Score 25.0%; False share 38.5%; 10 False of 26 tracked records.2025: Trust Score 20.7%; False share 52.0%; 13 False of 25 tracked records.2026: Trust Score 15.0%; False share 66.7%; 4 False of 6 tracked records.

Hover, tap, or focus a year for its exact score, False count, and sample size.

View the annual data table
YearTrackedScoredTrust ScoreFalseFalse share
20021150.0%00.0%
200633100.0%00.0%
2008110.0%1100.0%
2011210.0%150.0%
201210Not scored00.0%
2013110.0%1100.0%
2015110.0%1100.0%
20168742.9%450.0%
2017111118.2%981.8%
201815147.1%1173.3%
201910100.0%10100.0%
20204333.3%250.0%
20215535.0%360.0%
2022201726.5%1260.0%
2023131214.6%969.2%
2024262125.0%1038.5%
2025252320.7%1352.0%
20266515.0%466.7%

Raw annual volume

False records per year, with the denominator visible.

Bar length shows how many records the corpus tracks in that year. Red shows the zero-point subset classified False.

2002
0 False / 1 tracked
2006
0 False / 3 tracked
2008
1 False / 1 tracked
2011
1 False / 2 tracked
2012
0 False / 1 tracked
2013
1 False / 1 tracked
2015
1 False / 1 tracked
2016
4 False / 8 tracked
2017
9 False / 11 tracked
2018
11 False / 15 tracked
2019
10 False / 10 tracked
2020
2 False / 4 tracked
2021
3 False / 5 tracked
2022
12 False / 20 tracked
2023
9 False / 13 tracked
2024
10 False / 26 tracked
2025
13 False / 25 tracked
2026
4 False / 6 tracked

Three more ways to read the corpus

Verdict mix, subject category, and claim type.

The verdict mix shows the whole corpus. Subject and statement-form views compare independent facets without assuming every claim belongs to one of Musk's organizations.

Part to whole

Verdict mix.

True
19
Mostly True
3
Misleading
14
Unsupported
11
False
91
Pending
12
Unresolved
5

Shared-scale comparison

Score by subject category.

Personal & Legal8 scored of 9
40.6%
Media & Society15 scored of 17
31.7%
Business & Technology79 scored of 92
21.2%
Politics & Government29 scored of 29
18.1%
Science & Health7 scored of 8
14.3%

Statement form

Score by claim type.

Claim type describes how the statement was framed, independently of what it was about or which entity it concerned.

Promise or Commitment48 scored of 51
29.2%
Factual Assertion55 scored of 57
27.3%
Prediction or Forecast35 scored of 46
5.7%
Opinion or Rhetoric0 scored of 1
Not scored

Read charts with the rules beside them

See the scoring and selection methodology.

Read the methodology