Was described as PayPal’s largest shareholder until eBay acquired the company.
Evidence chain
From statement to verdict.
- 01
Original statement
Was described as PayPal’s largest shareholder until eBay acquired the company.
Undated profile · Factual Assertion
- 02
Measurable target
Present-tense or retrospective claim
Not applicable
- 03
Observed outcome
PayPal’s 2001 Form 10-K listed Musk with 7,109,989 shares, or 11.7%, the largest disclosed individual holding in the table before the eBay acquisition.
Evaluated Jul 26, 2026
- 04
Verdict and score
True
100 of 100 points under the v5 rubric. Promise/forecast verdict: Every material term was met, including timing, scope, quantity, capability, price, and permanence. Factual verdict: The central factual proposition is supported by strong evidence.
Record details
How this row was evaluated.
- Subject category
- Business & Technology
- Organization or context
- PayPal
- Relationship to organization
- Former affiliation
- Assertion mode
- Authorized or biographical profile representation
- Deadline result
- Not applicable
- Eventual outcome
- Not applicable
- Factual accuracy
- True
- Canonical classification
- True
- Score points
- 100 / 100
- Included in headline score
- Yes
- Research confidence
- Medium
- Credible-source contestation
- No
- Correction status
- No public correction identified
- Deleted after challenge
- No
- Repeated after correction
- No
- Evidence-documented repetition count
- 1
Intent stays separate
Was intentional deception established?
No
- Detailed assessment
- Not established
- Intent evidence level
- 0 / 3
The cited evidence supports the claim or fulfillment. No evidence in this row establishes intentional deception.
“No” does not mean the statement was true. It means the cited evidence did not meet the higher standard needed to establish the speaker's state of mind.
Why this distinction mattersEvidence strength
A disclosed measure of evidence quality—not a probability.
Component scores measure source quality, corroboration, and directness. Verdict confidence begins with that evidence strength and applies the deductions documented in the methodology.
Quality and directness of evidence that Musk made the statement.
Quality of evidence establishing the outcome.
Independent corroboration across sources and domains.
How directly the evidence resolves the proposition.
- Evidence sources
- 2
- Independent source domains
- 2
- Claim audit
- Complete
- Source audit
- Pass
Source fields and evidence metrics populated.
Citations
Read the underlying sources.
Field-level evaluation audit
Every calculated output carries its own evidence basis.
Open any of the 12 audited outputs to see its calculated value, written basis, rule, and cited sources.
01Deadline resultNot applicable
Evidence basis
Compared the original target/timeframe (“Present-tense or retrospective claim”) with the documented outcome. Result: Not applicable. Evidence: Elon Musk Profile Page; PayPal 2001 Form 10-K. URLs: https://www.xprize.org/people/elon-musk; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1103415/000091205702009834/a2073071z10-k405.htm
Calculation rule
Compare original target with documented timing.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
02Eventual outcomeNot applicable
Evidence basis
Classified the later real-world result independently from the headline verdict. Result: Not applicable. Documented outcome: PayPal’s 2001 Form 10-K listed Musk with 7,109,989 shares, or 11.7%, the largest disclosed individual holding in the table before the eBay acquisition. Evidence: Elon Musk Profile Page; PayPal 2001 Form 10-K. URLs: https://www.xprize.org/people/elon-musk; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1103415/000091205702009834/a2073071z10-k405.htm
Calculation rule
Classify the later real-world outcome separately from the headline verdict.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
03Factual accuracyTrue
Evidence basis
Compared the normalized proposition with the cited records. Result: True. Documented outcome: PayPal’s 2001 Form 10-K listed Musk with 7,109,989 shares, or 11.7%, the largest disclosed individual holding in the table before the eBay acquisition. Evidence: Elon Musk Profile Page; PayPal 2001 Form 10-K. URLs: https://www.xprize.org/people/elon-musk; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1103415/000091205702009834/a2073071z10-k405.htm
Calculation rule
Compare the normalized factual proposition with cited evidence.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
04Canonical verdictTrue
Evidence basis
Factual-claim rule: apply the published True, Mostly True, Misleading, Unsupported, False, or Unresolved definition. Applied result: True (True). Evidence finding: PayPal’s 2001 Form 10-K listed Musk with 7,109,989 shares, or 11.7%, the largest disclosed individual holding in the table before the eBay acquisition. Evidence: Elon Musk Profile Page; PayPal 2001 Form 10-K. URLs: https://www.xprize.org/people/elon-musk; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1103415/000091205702009834/a2073071z10-k405.htm
Calculation rule
Apply strict promise rule or published factual-claim classification.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
05Score points100
Evidence basis
Score assigned mechanically from verdict and claim type under strict-promise-v1.0: True = 100 points.
Calculation rule
Map verdict mechanically to points under the applicable rule.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
06Inclusion in the Trust ScoreYes
Evidence basis
Included because the claim has a resolved evidence-based verdict.
Calculation rule
Include only resolved evidence-based verdicts.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
07Research confidenceMedium
Evidence basis
Evidence strength 73/100 = statement 18/30 + outcome 40/40 + corroboration 0/15 + directness 15/15. Published deductions yield verdict confidence 73/100 (Medium).
Calculation rule
Calculate from evidence components and published deductions.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
08Credible-source contestationNo
Evidence basis
Credible-source contestation: No. Resolution: No material contestation identified in the cited evidence. Evidence URLs: https://www.xprize.org/people/elon-musk; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1103415/000091205702009834/a2073071z10-k405.htm
Calculation rule
Record material credible-source disagreement separately from verdict.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
09Correction statusNo public correction identified
Evidence basis
Correction status is bounded to the cited record: No public correction identified. Evidence URLs: https://www.xprize.org/people/elon-musk; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1103415/000091205702009834/a2073071z10-k405.htm
Calculation rule
Bound correction finding to cited evidence.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
10Repetition after correctionNo
Evidence basis
Repeated after correction: No. Minimum documented repetition count: 1. Evidence URLs: https://www.xprize.org/people/elon-musk; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1103415/000091205702009834/a2073071z10-k405.htm
Calculation rule
Bound repetition finding to cited evidence.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
11Intentional-deception answerNo
Evidence basis
The cited evidence supports the claim or fulfillment. No evidence in this row establishes intentional deception.
Calculation rule
Require direct admission, adjudicated intent finding, or comparably conclusive state-of-mind evidence.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
12Strict promise resultNot applicable
Evidence basis
Factual-claim rule: apply the published True, Mostly True, Misleading, Unsupported, False, or Unresolved definition. Applied result: True (True). Evidence finding: PayPal’s 2001 Form 10-K listed Musk with 7,109,989 shares, or 11.7%, the largest disclosed individual holding in the table before the eBay acquisition. Evidence: Elon Musk Profile Page; PayPal 2001 Form 10-K. URLs: https://www.xprize.org/people/elon-musk; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1103415/000091205702009834/a2073071z10-k405.htm
Calculation rule
Pass only if every material promise or forecast term was met; otherwise Fail, Pending, Unresolved, or Not applicable.
- Evidence strength
- 73 / 100
- Verdict confidence
- 73 / 100 · Medium
- Audit status
- Complete
Audit trail
Selection and scoring notes.
- v5 classification rationale
- Factual-claim rule: apply the published True, Mostly True, Misleading, Unsupported, False, or Unresolved definition. Applied result: True (True). Evidence finding: PayPal’s 2001 Form 10-K listed Musk with 7,109,989 shares, or 11.7%, the largest disclosed individual holding in the table before the eBay acquisition. Evidence: Elon Musk Profile Page; PayPal 2001 Form 10-K. URLs: https://www.xprize.org/people/elon-musk; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1103415/000091205702009834/a2073071z10-k405.htm
- v4 → v5 source-package migration audit
- Audited, no headline change. Evidence and derived statistics re-audited.
- Selection basis
- Material v3 expansion claim selected under published inclusion rules
- Source quality
- Profile statement verified against contemporaneous SEC ownership disclosure; profile publication date is not shown V4 evidence metrics: statement 18/30; outcome 40/40; corroboration 0/15; directness 15/15.
- Methodology note
- V5 uses strict-promise-v1.0. Later delivery does not earn partial credit for a missed dated promise. Scored under the v3 True category at 100 points. This rating measures demonstrated reliability and does not by itself establish deceptive intent.