ELON MUSKTRUST RECORD

Dataset v5Evaluated Jul 26, 2026

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X-016May 16, 2023Business & TechnologyPolitics & ElectionsX / TwitterPromise or Commitment

Promised that users making false stolen-election claims on Twitter would be corrected, “100 percent.”

False — Missed Deadline0%High confidenceContested by credible sources

Evidence chain

From statement to verdict.

  1. 01

    Original statement

    Promised that users making false stolen-election claims on Twitter would be corrected, “100 percent.”

    May 16, 2023 · Promise or Commitment

  2. 02

    Measurable target

    Ongoing from May 2023

    Matured ongoing commitment not met

  3. 03

    Observed outcome

    An AP/Zignal Labs review found the ten most widely shared rigged-election posts after the promise had no visible notes; a later study found 74% of sampled misleading election posts lacked displayed corrective notes.

    Evaluated Jul 26, 2026

  4. 04

    Verdict and score

    False — Missed Deadline

    0 of 100 points under the v5 rubric. Promise/forecast verdict: At least one matured material term failed, including a deadline miss, incomplete scope, reversal, or incorrect forecast. Factual verdict: Reliable evidence contradicts the central proposition.

Record details

How this row was evaluated.

Subject category
Business & Technology
Topic category
Politics & Elections
Organization or context
X / Twitter
Relationship to organization
Current affiliation
Assertion mode
Direct public statement quoted by independent reporting
Deadline result
Matured ongoing commitment not met
Eventual outcome
Unfulfilled
Factual accuracy
Not applicable
Strict promise result
Fail
Status rule version
strict-promise-v1.0
Canonical classification
False
Score points
0 / 100
Included in headline score
Yes
Research confidence
High
Credible-source contestation
Yes
Contestation resolution
The cited evidence resolves the material proposition.
Correction status
No public withdrawal of the promise identified in the cited evidence
Deleted after challenge
Not established from the cited evidence
Repeated after correction
Not established from the cited evidence
Sensitive-topic metadata
Election misinformation · Platform governance

Later-delivery context: Later outcome retained for context: An AP/Zignal Labs review found the ten most widely shared rigged-election posts after the promise had no visible notes; a later study found 74% of sampled misleading election posts lacked displayed corrective notes. Under strict-promise-v1.0, later delivery does not satisfy the original deadline or restore points.

The verdict evaluates the measurable platform commitment, not a political viewpoint.

Intent stays separate

Was intentional deception established?

No

Detailed assessment
Not established
Intent evidence level
No conclusive state-of-mind evidence

The evidence establishes the outcome or factual error but does not conclusively establish knowledge of falsity at the time of the statement.

“No” does not mean the statement was true. It means the cited evidence did not meet the higher standard needed to establish the speaker's state of mind.

Why this distinction matters

Evidence strength

A disclosed measure of evidence quality—not a probability.

Component scores measure source quality, corroboration, and directness. Verdict confidence begins with that evidence strength and applies the deductions documented in the methodology.

Evidence strength96of 100
Verdict confidence93High
Statement evidence quality28 / 30

Quality and directness of evidence that Musk made the statement.

Outcome evidence quality38 / 40

Quality of evidence establishing the outcome.

Corroboration15 / 15

Independent corroboration across sources and domains.

Directness15 / 15

How directly the evidence resolves the proposition.

Evidence sources
2
Independent source domains
2
Claim audit
Complete
Source audit
Pass

Material contestation is documented and resolved or left Unresolved in the row.

Citations

Read the underlying sources.

Original statement · Associated Press reporting reproducing Musk’s interview statementFalse claims of a stolen election thrive unchecked on Twitter even as Musk promises otherwiseOpen source (opens in a new tab)Primary outcome sourceAP review of uncorrected stolen-election postsOpen source (opens in a new tab)Additional outcome source 1Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformationOpen source (opens in a new tab)

Field-level evaluation audit

Every calculated output carries its own evidence basis.

Open any of the 12 audited outputs to see its calculated value, written basis, rule, and cited sources.

01Deadline resultMatured ongoing commitment not met

Evidence basis

Compared the original target/timeframe (“Ongoing from May 2023”) with the documented outcome. Result: Matured ongoing commitment not met. Evidence: False claims of a stolen election thrive unchecked on Twitter even as Musk promises otherwise; AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts; Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation. URLs: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/false-claims-of-a-stolen-election-thrive-unchecked-on-twitter-even-as-musk-promises-otherwise; https://apnews.com/article/x-musk-twitter-misinformation-ccdh-0fa4fec0f703369b93be248461e8005d

Calculation rule

Compare original target with documented timing.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation
02Eventual outcomeUnfulfilled

Evidence basis

Classified the later real-world result independently from the headline verdict. Result: Unfulfilled. Documented outcome: An AP/Zignal Labs review found the ten most widely shared rigged-election posts after the promise had no visible notes; a later study found 74% of sampled misleading election posts lacked displayed corrective notes. Evidence: False claims of a stolen election thrive unchecked on Twitter even as Musk promises otherwise; AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts; Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation. URLs: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/false-claims-of-a-stolen-election-thrive-unchecked-on-twitter-even-as-musk-promises-otherwise; https://apnews.com/article/x-musk-twitter-misinformation-ccdh-0fa4fec0f703369b93be248461e8005d

Calculation rule

Classify the later real-world outcome separately from the headline verdict.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation
03Factual accuracyNot applicable

Evidence basis

Compared the normalized proposition with the cited records. Result: Not applicable. Documented outcome: An AP/Zignal Labs review found the ten most widely shared rigged-election posts after the promise had no visible notes; a later study found 74% of sampled misleading election posts lacked displayed corrective notes. Evidence: False claims of a stolen election thrive unchecked on Twitter even as Musk promises otherwise; AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts; Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation. URLs: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/false-claims-of-a-stolen-election-thrive-unchecked-on-twitter-even-as-musk-promises-otherwise; https://apnews.com/article/x-musk-twitter-misinformation-ccdh-0fa4fec0f703369b93be248461e8005d

Calculation rule

Compare the normalized factual proposition with cited evidence.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation
04Canonical verdictFalse

Evidence basis

Strict promise rule: pass only when every material term, including timing, scope, quantity, capability, price, and permanence, was met. Any matured material miss is False and earns 0; later delivery is contextual only. Applied result: False (False — Missed Deadline). Evidence finding: An AP/Zignal Labs review found the ten most widely shared rigged-election posts after the promise had no visible notes; a later study found 74% of sampled misleading election posts lacked displayed corrective notes. Evidence: False claims of a stolen election thrive unchecked on Twitter even as Musk promises otherwise; AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts; Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation. URLs: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/false-claims-of-a-stolen-election-thrive-unchecked-on-twitter-even-as-musk-promises-otherwise; https://apnews.com/article/x-musk-twitter-misinformation-ccdh-0fa4fec0f703369b93be248461e8005d

Calculation rule

Apply strict promise rule or published factual-claim classification.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation
05Score points0

Evidence basis

Score assigned mechanically from verdict and claim type under strict-promise-v1.0: False = 0 points.

Calculation rule

Map verdict mechanically to points under the applicable rule.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation
06Inclusion in the Trust ScoreYes

Evidence basis

Included because the claim has a resolved evidence-based verdict.

Calculation rule

Include only resolved evidence-based verdicts.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation
07Research confidenceHigh

Evidence basis

Evidence strength 96/100 = statement 28/30 + outcome 38/40 + corroboration 15/15 + directness 15/15. Published deductions yield verdict confidence 93/100 (High).

Calculation rule

Calculate from evidence components and published deductions.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation
08Credible-source contestationYes

Evidence basis

Credible-source contestation: Yes. Resolution: The cited evidence resolves the material proposition. Evidence URLs: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/false-claims-of-a-stolen-election-thrive-unchecked-on-twitter-even-as-musk-promises-otherwise; https://apnews.com/article/x-musk-twitter-misinformation-ccdh-0fa4fec0f703369b93be248461e8005d

Calculation rule

Record material credible-source disagreement separately from verdict.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation
09Correction statusNo public withdrawal of the promise identified in the cited evidence

Evidence basis

Correction status is bounded to the cited record: No public withdrawal of the promise identified in the cited evidence. Evidence URLs: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/false-claims-of-a-stolen-election-thrive-unchecked-on-twitter-even-as-musk-promises-otherwise; https://apnews.com/article/x-musk-twitter-misinformation-ccdh-0fa4fec0f703369b93be248461e8005d

Calculation rule

Bound correction finding to cited evidence.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation
10Repetition after correctionNot established from the cited evidence

Evidence basis

Repeated after correction: Not established from the cited evidence. Minimum documented repetition count: not established. Evidence URLs: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/false-claims-of-a-stolen-election-thrive-unchecked-on-twitter-even-as-musk-promises-otherwise; https://apnews.com/article/x-musk-twitter-misinformation-ccdh-0fa4fec0f703369b93be248461e8005d

Calculation rule

Bound repetition finding to cited evidence.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation
11Intentional-deception answerNo

Evidence basis

The evidence establishes the outcome or factual error but does not conclusively establish knowledge of falsity at the time of the statement.

Calculation rule

Require direct admission, adjudicated intent finding, or comparably conclusive state-of-mind evidence.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation
12Strict promise resultFail

Evidence basis

Strict promise rule: pass only when every material term, including timing, scope, quantity, capability, price, and permanence, was met. Any matured material miss is False and earns 0; later delivery is contextual only. Applied result: False (False — Missed Deadline). Evidence finding: An AP/Zignal Labs review found the ten most widely shared rigged-election posts after the promise had no visible notes; a later study found 74% of sampled misleading election posts lacked displayed corrective notes. Evidence: False claims of a stolen election thrive unchecked on Twitter even as Musk promises otherwise; AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts; Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation. URLs: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/false-claims-of-a-stolen-election-thrive-unchecked-on-twitter-even-as-musk-promises-otherwise; https://apnews.com/article/x-musk-twitter-misinformation-ccdh-0fa4fec0f703369b93be248461e8005d

Calculation rule

Pass only if every material promise or forecast term was met; otherwise Fail, Pending, Unresolved, or Not applicable.

Evidence strength
96 / 100
Verdict confidence
93 / 100 · High
Audit status
Complete
AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation

Audit trail

Selection and scoring notes.

v5 classification rationale
Strict promise rule: pass only when every material term, including timing, scope, quantity, capability, price, and permanence, was met. Any matured material miss is False and earns 0; later delivery is contextual only. Applied result: False (False — Missed Deadline). Evidence finding: An AP/Zignal Labs review found the ten most widely shared rigged-election posts after the promise had no visible notes; a later study found 74% of sampled misleading election posts lacked displayed corrective notes. Evidence: False claims of a stolen election thrive unchecked on Twitter even as Musk promises otherwise; AP review of uncorrected stolen-election posts; Report says Community Notes fail to address election misinformation. URLs: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/false-claims-of-a-stolen-election-thrive-unchecked-on-twitter-even-as-musk-promises-otherwise; https://apnews.com/article/x-musk-twitter-misinformation-ccdh-0fa4fec0f703369b93be248461e8005d
v4 → v5 source-package migration audit
New V5 record. Added from new source review under V5 inclusion rules.
Selection basis
V5 expansion selected under published materiality and evidence rules
Source quality
Independent statement documentation paired with direct or independently corroborated outcome evidence.
Methodology note
V5 uses strict-promise-v1.0. Later delivery does not earn partial credit for a missed dated promise. False does not automatically establish intentional deception.